What Is the Probability?(With Examples)

Probability measures how likely an event is to happen. It is expressed as a number between 0 (impossible) and 1 (certain), or as a percentage (0% to 100%). Probability is calculated by dividing favorable outcomes by total possible outcomes.

Grades 7-8Key Stage 3 (Year 7-9)Årskurs 7-9Klasse 7-8

📖Definition

Probability measures how likely an event is to happen. It is expressed as a number between 0 (impossible) and 1 (certain), or as a percentage (0% to 100%). Probability is calculated by dividing favorable outcomes by total possible outcomes.

📐Formula

P(Event) = Number of favorable outcomes / Total number of possible outcomes

Probability ranges from 0 to 1. P = 0 means impossible, P = 1 means certain. For a fair coin flip, P(heads) = 1/2 = 0.5 = 50%.

📝Step-by-Step Guide

1

Identify the Event

Clearly define what outcome(s) you're calculating the probability for.

2

Count Favorable Outcomes

Determine how many outcomes match your event.

3

Count Total Possible Outcomes

List or count all possible outcomes in the sample space.

4

Calculate the Probability

Divide favorable by total and simplify or convert to percentage.

P(Event) = Favorable / Total

⚠️Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Confusing "at least one" with "exactly one"
  • Forgetting probability must be between 0 and 1
  • Not counting all possible outcomes
  • Treating non-equally-likely outcomes as equal
  • Confusing independent and dependent events

✏️Practice Problems

Easy

What is the probability of rolling a 4 on a standard die?

Answer: 1/6

Medium

A bag has 3 red and 5 blue marbles. What is the probability of picking a red marble?

Answer: 3/8

Hard

What is the probability of rolling an even number OR a number greater than 4 on a die?

Answer: 4/6 = 2/3

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Worked Examples

Curriculum Alignment

CommonCore (7.SP.C.5)KS3KMK